An Oft Foretold Winter of Scarcity (Part IIa: Energy Preliminary considerations)

A future we enter regardless of whether our eyes are open or closed

From the start, I should let the reader know, I have worked, almost my entire career, in the oil and gas industry. If this colours my discussions below, the reader has been warned and can factor that in their own analysis.

I have delayed publishing this for quite awhile. This was because, I kept feeling there is so much missing and could lead to misinterpretation, not only that, by trying to explain each point, I ran into size limit of allowed articles. I finally decided to just publish what I have in bits and pieces over time, on this topic. I hope it will be useful , in a small way, in the end. To facilitate this I will call each small part by appending in alphabetical order to the part number as this one will be called “… Part IIa …” the one following “… Part IIb …” and so on.

To begin, I would like to tie this part of the article, about energy, to the previous discussion about food. Though we think of food as central to our survival, in the current world, the production of food is inextricably linked to main stream highly controlled energy (unless you are thinking of some Amish, who maybe less dependent). Therefore, talk of food, in part I, is incomplete. We need to consider energy, the interplay between energy, fertilizer, food and its production is not a mystery, so recent observations of energy crisis in Europe spilling over to food is not surprising, it is the expected knock-on effect. To gain some perspective

the U.S. consumes as much energy preparing and transporting food as France uses to power the entire country for a year.

-Choose Energy

One breakdown of where the energy is used in the US food production can be seen in the pie-chart below. It is interesting to see how much energy is expended in the handling of food, yet, actions by “the elite” controlled politicians seem concentrated in the agriculture segment. This should also be of no surprise, as the rest are mostly under the control of big money, and it should be clear now, there is concerted effort to eliminate or limit independent farming, in the guise of all sorts of high sounding agendas. The predictable outcome will be greater centralized control of food, and through food, the control of the people, and, we have the same old tune that the benefit will flow to the few and deprivation will be the lot of the many.

-Choose Energy

The highly energy dependent food production system we have in place, makes the food industry ability to produce food, strongly tied to the production of energy and the price of energy. If there is an energy scarcity, even if we do not starve, the price rise of food-stuff will change how we consume food and how that food will be produced. If you are going to do some large scale social engineering experiment on the people, I would think, the control of:

• the ability to do violence,

• the control of energy,

• the control of food (I include water here as well),

• and control of currency,

would be central to your plans. History is full of examples of this, just look up your favourite tyrant or tyrant-want-to-be:

• Mao,

• Pol Pot,

• Sadam,

• Tru-dolt,

• Klaus Schwab,

the list is truly legion. However, it is my belief, they can all be overcome. In a way, we have been complicit in our own enslavement, we closed our eyes and allowed this to occur, in the name of so many inspiring words, such as:

• climate change initiatives,

• green new deal,

• medical security,

• banning unclean foods (canning is dangerous, unauthorized milk will kill you),

• the war on terror (wars for energy and arguably the benefit of Israel),

• wars securing US interests and bring “democracy and freedom”(Smedley Butler’s experience)

I am not saying any of the list above does not have a grain of truth, or, that individuals who take these seriously are outright delusional. I am only pointing out these points have been hijacked for agenda’s of “the elite”.

As already discussed, in part I, the “elite” have another one size fits all food solutions for us, one example, discussed in part I, is the production of bugs and we get to eat them, or, taking action to insure there will be much less of the useless eaters (of which, I would be a part of).

If we look at the recent actions of governments, specially where the empire and its controlled political entities (such as the WHO) have most influence, the production of food, and, the availability of energy, will favour big business and not the smaller farmers. I think the link between food and energy has been made. I will stop here, on food, and focus on energy in the following discussion.

To start let us look at the productivity of the world and it relationship to energy consumption, if there is any. The measure I will use for productivity will be GDP (gross domestic product). The observation that GDP is highly correlated to energy consumption, is well known (1) (2) . The chart below (Fig. 1), that I have copied from Scottish Skeptic, shows this relationship quite well.

Figure 1: World GDP vs. Energy Consumption

Though we have been inundated with the phrase “correlation does not equate to causation” for the last two years. The link between energy and the production of stuff is so compelling that I will take it as self evident and leave it at that.

If we take a closer look at the energy consumption of a few nations below (Fig. 2) up to a more recent time, we can see there is one very anomalous nation among the four countries/blocks depicted. China sticks out like a sore thumb. Given the chart above and the one below, care to guess in which direction the GDP is going in the four nations during this time period?

Figure 2: Contrast of energy usage of a few select countries/blocks

Figure 3: Who uses more energy. With the question what do they produce?

This shows why, in the past, it was so vital for the control of energy world wide for the agenda of the empire, including but not limited to:

• the creation of the petro-dollar,

• weaponizing the US$ as the global reserve currency,

• scuttling of Nord Stream 2,

• constant political'/military meddling in the Middle East and Venezuela,

• outright stealing oil after regime change military action

• the politicization of climate change. (I was unsure whether to include this point, since, some would argue that it’s denial of climate “science”. I stand, today, in the unenviable position of being unsure of the ultimate cause of the current global warming. The warming, I am fairly sure of, but the ultimate modelled results of human produced CO2 as the main cause is where my uncertainty lies. However, the political use of this idea definitely has impacts on control of energy so, for now, I’ll include it.)

the list above, can all be viewed from the control of energy perspective. The “elite” have not attempted to hide this. As an example, a quote from a well known political player and war criminal should suffice to illustrate this:

“Who controls the food supply controls the people; who controls the energy can control whole continents; who controls money can control the world”

— Henry Kissinger

The position that energy plays in the world today cannot be underestimated nor can we underestimate the type of actions of the “elite” players would take to control this resource. The control can take the form of limiting or eliminating access to those who “the elite” determine to be useless (to them).

First lets look at some types of energy consumed and their relative contribution over time (Fig. 4). From this graph, it is evident that since the start of the industrial revolution, say around 1830, fossil-fuels, starting with coal, moving to oil and then gas dominates everything else since about 1910. All other sources of energy form a much smaller fraction of the total. For example, looking at 2019, all green-energy (wind, solar, bio-fuels, other renewable) accounted for only about 5% of the total that year, a very small amount, while fossil-fuels (coal, oil, gas) account for almost 79% and all others (nuclear, hydro, traditional-biomass) 16%. So the green-fuels supplies a very small portion of our energy needs. For anyone to think that the green-fuels, barring a very extreme scientific discovery, in the short to medium term will make a difference in our energy consumption makeup is seriously misguided, In my opinion.

Figure 4: Types of energy consumed globally

All the touted initiatives to transition from fosil-fuels to wind, solar and all that is green has amounted in the last decade (Fig 5) to a few percentage change.

Figure 5: Global energy consumption by type in the last decade

Another way to look at this is by percentage of each type of energy over time (Fig 6).

Figure 6: Energy consumption over time by type

As can be seen, not only is the whole green energy (coloured in shades of green) at the top of the chart amounting to about 5% wedge at the top of the chart, which we mentioned above, while, at the same time, the fossil-fuels (shades of grey) have increased beyond the small changes of the green-energy showing. This is not because no actions have been taken to transition from fossil-fuels, this is despite all the rhetoric and effort to push through this agenda. The energy types that are replaced (mostly by more fossil-fuel consumption) are traditional biomass and nuclear. It could be argued, nuclear, properly handled, could be a more green and dense source of energy than most, yet, due to the bad reputation, it is not even given consideration, even as a stop gap measure (I am sure, this will change in a very short time), before some magical technology boosts the tiny green wedge into prominence.

I will end this section here. The next section will be discussing the possible impact of our energy choice in our lives and potentially the severity of consequences that we the masses will have to endure while the manipulating “elite” will not be affected, nor will they be the beacon of “good” example, based on there actions, independent of their rhetoric.

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Articles that relate the this post, after it was written

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• Let’s revisit nuclear power should we? Always too late, only to be considered after disaster has met their harebrained agendas.